Hitchin Town vs Paulton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HIT
1 - 1
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
WES
4 - 0
HIT
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
DOR
0 - 1
HIT
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HIT
2 - 0
CIR
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
HIT
3 - 0
HAR
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
RED
1 - 1
PAU
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
STR
4 - 0
PAU
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
CHE
14%
21%
66%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +5 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HIS
1 - 1
PAU
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 3
SWI
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |