FA Cup . 1/256
Global 1-3
Hitchin Town vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HIT
2 - 2
POO
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
HIT
1 - 1
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WHI
1 - 1
HIT
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
HIT
1 - 0
ARL
44%
25%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
HIT
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 1
ARL
21%
25%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 1
ARL
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ARL
3 - 1
HIN
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
HIT
1 - 0
ARL
44%
25%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 1
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |