Histon vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SOH
2 - 0
HIS
29%
23%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
HIS
1 - 1
SPA
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 2
HIS
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HIS
1 - 1
BEL
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
DAV
1 - 1
HIS
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
YAX
1 - 4
CHA
25%
22%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
BED
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
CHA
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
5 - 0
DAV
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |