Hillerød vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
12º
7º
25
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HVI
3 - 1
HIL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BFR
1 - 0
HIL
45%
24%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 5
SON
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
VEN
5 - 1
HIL
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 0
ROS
23%
21%
56%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SON
3 - 1
HBK
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
SKO
0 - 4
HBK
9%
18%
73%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HBK
1 - 2
VEN
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
HBK
0 - 0
HOB
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HBK
1 - 2
NAE
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |