Hilden vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MON
2 - 3
HIL
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
HIL
1 - 0
RAT
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
WUP
0 - 1
HIL
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
HIL
5 - 1
SWD
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
BER
5 - 3
HIL
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 4
WUP
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 1
WUL
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
VEL
3 - 0
TUH
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
VEL
4 - 0
TSG
11%
15%
74%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |