Cup . Last 16
Global 3-2
Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 0
HIB
17%
25%
59%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 2
HIB
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
HIB
24%
27%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 1
STJ
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HIB
3 - 1
STM
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ROS
0 - 3
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 2
HIB
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 0
HOM
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HOM
6 - 0
MHE
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |