Heybridge Swifts vs Hayes & Yeading United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HEY
1 - 3
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HTG
1 - 2
HEY
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 3
HEY
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HEY
2 - 0
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HEY
1 - 4
CAN
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
POO
1 - 4
HAY
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
HAY
2 - 2
DOR
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 2
HAY
39%
23%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 1
HAY
6%
14%
80%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAY
3 - 2
WHI
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |