Heybridge Swifts vs Basildon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
CTF
0 - 2
HEY
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
HEY
2 - 2
WHI
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HEY
4 - 4
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HEY
3 - 1
DER
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
HEY
7 - 1
HUL
86%
10%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
4 - 1
TIL
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
HTG
2 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 0
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 2
BAS
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |