Hertha BSC vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TSV
0 - 1
HER
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 25 | 58 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BYM
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
HER
2 - 2
RTV
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
HER
3 - 1
KOL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 1
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
VFR
2 - 5
M05
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
M05
2 - 1
HSV
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
STU
4 - 2
M05
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
M05
3 - 0
EIN
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SSV
0 - 0
M05
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |