Hertford Town vs Hadley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
18º
14º
55
5º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
BFC
27%
21%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
AFD
4 - 4
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SEV
2 - 2
HER
69%
19%
13%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 2
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
3 - 3
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HAD
2 - 0
HAR
66%
18%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HAD
0 - 0
AFD
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HAD
1 - 2
SEV
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAD
1 - 2
KID
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HIG
1 - 0
HAD
18%
21%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |