Hertford Town vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
4 - 1
HER
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
WES
1 - 3
HER
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FAV
4 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
HER
1 - 2
WAL
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
HAN
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
BED
2 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 0
CHA
84%
10%
5%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAR
12%
20%
68%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +4 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
WAR
11%
17%
73%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |