Hershey vs Motown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
84.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hershey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
NJC
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ECS
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
FCM
6 - 1
HER
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
HER
0 - 1
ATC
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
HER
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Motown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
FCM
6 - 0
ECS
93%
5%
2%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
FCM
3 - 1
ATC
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
FCM
6 - 1
HER
92%
6%
2%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 3
FCM
4%
10%
86%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NJC
0 - 4
FCM
13%
17%
71%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |