Herrestads AIF vs Kongahälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
8º
5º
17
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
17 | 54 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 48 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 43 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 42 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 37 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 36 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 35 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 32 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 24 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 24 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 21 |
14º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 65% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 2
HER
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LID
3 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
KUM
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
TIK
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FBK
3 - 1
HER
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kongahälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KON
2 - 1
KUM
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
VFK
1 - 3
KON
19%
22%
58%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KON
4 - 1
MOT
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FBK
4 - 1
KON
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
GAI
1 - 1
KON
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |