Non League Div One Isthmian South. Jor. 5

Herne Bay vs Carshalton Athletic analysis

Herne Bay Carshalton Athletic
22 ELO 29
-8.9% Tilt 2.6%
8209º General ELO ranking 5788º
410º Country ELO ranking 258º
ELO win probability
27.3%
Herne Bay
24%
Draw
48.7%
Carshalton Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
Herne Bay
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.7%
Win probability
Carshalton Athletic
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Herne Bay
-3%
+26%
Carshalton Athletic

ELO progression

Herne Bay
Carshalton Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Herne Bay
Herne Bay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2016
HER
Herne Bay
1 - 0
Corinthian-Casuals
COR
18%
23%
59%
21 34 13 0
27 Sep. 2016
HYT
Hythe Town
3 - 1
Herne Bay
HER
71%
17%
11%
20 31 11 +1
24 Sep. 2016
GUE
Guernsey
5 - 1
Herne Bay
HER
44%
24%
33%
22 20 2 -2
20 Sep. 2016
HER
Herne Bay
1 - 5
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
14%
19%
67%
24 41 17 -2
17 Sep. 2016
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
1 - 1
Herne Bay
HER
73%
16%
11%
24 41 17 0

Matches

Carshalton Athletic
Carshalton Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2016
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
2 - 1
Carshalton Athletic
CAR
66%
18%
16%
27 35 8 0
24 Sep. 2016
WHY
Whyteleafe
1 - 1
Carshalton Athletic
CAR
33%
23%
44%
28 22 6 -1
19 Sep. 2016
CAR
Carshalton Athletic
10 - 0
Godalming Town
GOD
63%
20%
17%
27 24 3 +1
17 Sep. 2016
LEW
Lewes
1 - 2
Carshalton Athletic
CAR
42%
25%
33%
26 26 0 +1
10 Sep. 2016
CAR
Carshalton Athletic
2 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
64%
19%
17%
25 20 5 +1
X