Hernán Cortés vs CD Nueva Ciudad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
HER
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
CDC
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
UCL
41%
24%
36%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CFJ
1 - 0
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
GEV
57%
23%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nueva Ciudad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDN
1 - 0
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 3
CDN
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDN
2 - 1
CAT
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PIO
1 - 3
CDN
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDN
1 - 2
ZAF
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |