Herk vs Groen Star Beek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
EEN
3 - 0
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 4
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
APO
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BER
0 - 2
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Groen Star Beek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
KVT
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HEL
1 - 1
GRO
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 1
BRU
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MOE
3 - 1
GRO
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 4
MEL
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |