Herk vs Alken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
14º
6º
28
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
10º
|
46% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
61.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HFC
2 - 3
HER
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
JHF
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 3
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
WEK
42%
23%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
HER
2 - 4
EKS
42%
22%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 2
EKS
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 1
ALK
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALK
3 - 0
BRE
20%
22%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 2
THA
11%
18%
72%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
ALK
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |