Herk vs Alken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
THA
2 - 1
HER
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
HUV
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GRO
2 - 2
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
ACH
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PAH
0 - 1
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HUV
2 - 2
ALK
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ALK
4 - 1
ACH
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
EEN
1 - 5
ALK
38%
22%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALK
3 - 3
VLI
50%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HIH
0 - 1
ALK
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |