Herk vs Achel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
EEN
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
4 - 2
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
GRO
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HER
3 - 6
HER
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HER
1 - 2
VVZ
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Achel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ACH
0 - 4
EKS
48%
21%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
ACH
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
3 - 3
THA
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BIL
3 - 1
ACH
70%
16%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 3
ENT
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |