Hereford United vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
HER
1 - 3
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
ROC
0 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
HER
2 - 1
STE
54%
22%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
LEY
0 - 1
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
FUL
0 - 0
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1995 |
SUT
1 - 1
KID
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
KID
2 - 2
SUT
58%
21%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
NOT
3 - 2
SUT
76%
14%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
GUL
0 - 1
SUT
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1993 |
COL
3 - 4
SUT
68%
17%
15%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |