Hércules vs Villarreal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
LLE
3 - 1
HER
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
33%
30%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
LEV
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
UCA
0 - 0
HER
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
OLO
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HOS
1 - 3
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
RMC
1 - 2
VIL
77%
15%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |