Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
CFC
0 - 0
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
HER
1 - 1
CCF
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
OVI
1 - 0
HER
33%
30%
37%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
HER
2 - 2
ALA
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
ORI
1 - 0
HER
22%
30%
48%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
PAT
2 - 2
VAL
36%
29%
35%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
VAL
5 - 2
TCF
77%
16%
8%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ALI
0 - 0
VAL
53%
26%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEV
37%
32%
32%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
CON
1 - 1
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |