Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
HER
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
MLL
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
RAC
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAL
3 - 1
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 1
RAC
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 2
DEP
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 0
SPO
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |