Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 0
HER
62%
18%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
HER
0 - 1
RCF
67%
17%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 1
HER
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 3
VAL
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
SPO
7 - 0
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
MUR
5 - 1
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 1
RAC
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
5 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |