Hércules vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 3
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 6
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 3
DEP
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
NUM
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUM
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 2
XER
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |