Hércules vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
BAL
1 - 1
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
HER
1 - 1
OLI
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
VIL
1 - 1
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
HER
2 - 0
POL
72%
18%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
MEL
1 - 2
TOR
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ELD
3 - 0
MEL
51%
29%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
MEL
0 - 0
AMA
42%
31%
27%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
CFC
0 - 0
MEL
67%
22%
11%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
MEL
0 - 1
GAN
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |