Hércules vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
HER
0 - 2
REC
30%
29%
40%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
GIM
1 - 1
HER
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
HER
2 - 1
ALB
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
MUR
3 - 1
HER
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
HER
0 - 0
ELC
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
CAD
5 - 0
MAL
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MAL
0 - 2
SEV
30%
28%
43%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAL
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 3
RAC
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
RMA
2 - 1
MAL
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |