Hércules vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
CEU
3 - 2
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
HER
2 - 0
SFE
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
HOS
1 - 0
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
UDL
4 - 3
HER
60%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
HER
1 - 3
MLL
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 1
UDL
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
MEL
3 - 0
GRA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
SDI
4 - 2
GRA
47%
22%
31%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 1
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
ALG
1 - 0
GRA
39%
25%
37%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |