Hércules vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RCD
2 - 1
HER
43%
23%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
HER
3 - 2
LEV
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
HER
8 - 2
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 0
HER
62%
18%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 0
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
GRA
6 - 0
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
RCD
2 - 1
GRA
41%
24%
36%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
FCB
5 - 0
GRA
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |