Hércules vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FIG
1 - 1
HER
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
CAS
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
GAV
0 - 0
HER
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
MLL
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
HER
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 0
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 2
GIM
31%
28%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 1
HOS
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SAB
0 - 0
GIM
21%
27%
53%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 2
LLE
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |