Hércules vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
21%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LOR
0 - 1
HER
23%
23%
55%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
HER
5 - 1
SEV
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ATH
5 - 3
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
HER
1 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LLE
1 - 0
ESP
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
BOC
0 - 0
ESP
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ESP
1 - 2
BET
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
RSO
2 - 1
ESP
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ESP
3 - 1
UDL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |