Trofeo Ciudad de Alicante Final

Hércules vs Elche analysis

Hércules Elche
72 ELO 77
8.5% Tilt -12.5%
2414º General ELO ranking 197º
75º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
46.3%
Hércules
25.1%
Draw
28.6%
Elche

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
Hércules
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.6%
Win probability
Elche
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hércules
-10%
+5%
Elche

ELO progression

Hércules
Elche
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2013
HER
Hércules
1 - 1
Granada
GRA
39%
26%
35%
72 80 8 0
24 Jul. 2013
HER
Hércules
1 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
32%
27%
41%
72 85 13 0
20 Jul. 2013
VIL
Villarreal B
1 - 3
Hércules
HER
34%
26%
41%
72 58 14 0
08 Jun. 2013
RAC
Racing
3 - 0
Hércules
HER
47%
28%
25%
73 73 0 -1
02 Jun. 2013
HER
Hércules
0 - 2
Real Murcia
MUR
68%
19%
13%
74 63 11 -1

Matches

Elche
Elche
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2013
ELC
Elche
1 - 3
Benfica
SLB
20%
23%
57%
77 88 11 0
27 Jul. 2013
ELC
Elche
2 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
44%
25%
31%
77 81 4 0
21 Jul. 2013
ELC
Elche
4 - 1
Ontinyent CF
ONT
85%
11%
4%
77 45 32 0
08 Jun. 2013
ELC
Elche
3 - 1
CD Guadalajara
GUA
66%
21%
13%
76 67 9 +1
01 Jun. 2013
SAB
CE Sabadell
0 - 0
Elche
ELC
27%
28%
44%
76 63 13 0