Copa del Rey . 1/32
Global 3-2
Hércules vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
HER
1 - 0
VAD
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
CAD
2 - 1
HER
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
CUL
2 - 0
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
HER
1 - 0
CCF
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1972 |
RAC
1 - 0
HER
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
CUL
0 - 0
ELC
50%
27%
22%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
VAD
1 - 0
CUL
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
CUL
2 - 0
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
CUL
2 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1972 |
CAD
1 - 0
CUL
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |