Hércules vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
HOS
1 - 0
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
UDL
4 - 3
HER
60%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
HER
1 - 3
MLL
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
CAD
1 - 2
HER
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
HER
2 - 1
CDT
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
SFE
2 - 2
RSO
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
IND
1 - 0
SFE
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
SFE
1 - 2
MAL
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 0
SFE
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
SFE
1 - 0
MLL
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |