Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 6
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
HER
4 - 2
GIR
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CCF
3 - 1
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
GIM
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HER
5 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 3
DEP
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEL
20%
26%
55%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
CEL
21%
27%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UDL
3 - 1
CEL
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |