LaLiga Round 11

Hércules vs Celta analysis

Hércules Celta
74 ELO 69
-7.8% Tilt -9.6%
2414º General ELO ranking 60º
75º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
54%
Hércules
25%
Draw
20.9%
Celta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
Hércules
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.9%
Win probability
Celta
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hércules
-10%
+4%
Celta

ELO progression

Hércules
Celta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 1985
RMA
Real Madrid
4 - 0
Hércules
HER
81%
13%
6%
73 87 14 0
27 Oct. 1985
HER
Hércules
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
32%
28%
40%
73 80 7 0
20 Oct. 1985
CAD
Cádiz
2 - 0
Hércules
HER
59%
24%
18%
74 76 2 -1
13 Oct. 1985
HER
Hércules
1 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
20%
26%
55%
74 88 14 0
06 Oct. 1985
HER
Hércules
2 - 0
UD Las Palmas
UDL
51%
26%
23%
73 74 1 +1

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1985
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
CD Ourense
CDO
84%
11%
5%
70 44 26 0
03 Nov. 1985
CEL
Celta
1 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
38%
29%
33%
70 80 10 0
27 Oct. 1985
ATH
Athletic
3 - 1
Celta
CEL
83%
12%
5%
70 87 17 0
23 Oct. 1985
CDO
CD Ourense
0 - 0
Celta
CEL
21%
26%
54%
71 43 28 -1
19 Oct. 1985
CEL
Celta
2 - 0
Osasuna
OSA
51%
26%
23%
70 77 7 +1