Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 2-7
Hércules vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
UDL
3 - 1
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
HER
2 - 0
CAD
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
LEV
2 - 1
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ELD
1 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
HER
2 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCN
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
0 - 0
OVI
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1963 |
FCN
2 - 1
ATM
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
1 - 1
ELC
79%
12%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |