Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
HER
2 - 3
ATM
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
SPO
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
VCF
0 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
50%
28%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
JOV
4 - 2
ALC
45%
31%
24%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALI
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ALC
8 - 1
ALM
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
JOV
2 - 2
ALC
49%
30%
22%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
ALC
3 - 0
CRE
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |