Hercules SD vs Mercurio de Iñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
HER
51%
21%
27%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
ONC
28%
22%
50%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
HER
0 - 4
OBR
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 3
HER
31%
21%
48%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mercurio de Iñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
POR
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SUE
2 - 3
MER
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |