Les Herbiers vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
LES
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
STP
0 - 2
LES
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LES
2 - 0
CHO
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 4
LES
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LES
2 - 3
TOU
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TOU
4 - 1
THO
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 0
THO
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
THO
1 - 1
AUX
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COG
2 - 1
THO
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
THO
1 - 0
BLO
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |