Heracles vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RJC
1 - 3
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
GAE
1 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
UTR
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 0
GRO
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FEY
3 - 1
PSV
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 0
FEY
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FEY
2 - 2
AZA
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |