Heracles vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
HER
8%
15%
77%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
HER
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 3
UTR
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TWE
4 - 1
ADO
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
TWE
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TWE
3 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |