Hendon vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 2
HEN
19%
21%
59%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 0
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HEN
4 - 1
BIL
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
STA
4 - 0
HEN
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TOO
0 - 2
HEN
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 2
MER
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 0
WOR
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 0
TOO
73%
16%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DUL
3 - 0
WOR
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |