Heming vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
81.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
HEM
0 - 1
STR
4%
9%
87%
|
8 | 67 | 59 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
HEM
1 - 3
STB
1%
3%
96%
|
8 | 70 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LYN
1 - 1
KON
45%
24%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 0
LYN
26%
25%
50%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KFU
2 - 1
LYN
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MJO
0 - 4
LYN
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
LYN
2 - 0
KRI
37%
22%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |