National League South . Jor. 11

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town Tonbridge Angels
37 ELO 38
0.2% Tilt -1.9%
5367º General ELO ranking 4732º
241º Country ELO ranking 199º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Hemel Hempstead Town
25.5%
Draw
38.2%
Tonbridge Angels

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
Hemel Hempstead Town
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.2%
Win probability
Tonbridge Angels
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hemel Hempstead Town
-35%
-6%
Tonbridge Angels

Points and table prediction

Hemel Hempstead Town
Their league position
Tonbridge Angels
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
23º
13º
67
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hemel Hempstead Town
Tonbridge Angels
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hemel Hempstead Town
Hemel Hempstead Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
1 - 1
Worthing
WOR
11%
18%
71%
35 51 16 0
17 Sep. 2022
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
3 - 0
Royston Town
ROY
36%
24%
40%
33 36 3 +2
13 Sep. 2022
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 3
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
55%
21%
23%
32 35 3 +1
03 Sep. 2022
WEY
Weymouth
0 - 0
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
37%
23%
39%
32 27 5 0
29 Aug. 2022
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 - 2
Dartford
DAR
15%
21%
64%
33 48 15 -1

Matches

Tonbridge Angels
Tonbridge Angels
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
CHE
Cheshunt
3 - 4
Tonbridge Angels
TON
48%
25%
26%
39 41 2 0
17 Sep. 2022
BIN
Binfield
4 - 0
Tonbridge Angels
TON
20%
20%
60%
41 28 13 -2
13 Sep. 2022
TON
Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
42%
25%
33%
41 41 0 0
03 Sep. 2022
TON
Tonbridge Angels
3 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
53%
24%
23%
39 36 3 +2
29 Aug. 2022
TON
Tonbridge Angels
1 - 2
St. Albans City
STA
47%
26%
27%
41 39 2 -2
X