Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Helsingborgs IF vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 0
GEF
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 2
ZES
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GEF
0 - 2
HEL
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
1 - 2
HEL
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 2
ELF
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
TNV
1 - 1
SAR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 0
TNV
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLA
2 - 1
SAR
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAR
4 - 0
POS
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SAR
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |