Heist vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 0
TUB
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
HEI
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 2
WAA
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
OOS
4 - 0
HEI
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HEI
2 - 2
KSV
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
DES
5 - 0
ANT
45%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 0
EEA
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 2
VAL
19%
24%
58%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
ANT
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 2
EEA
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |