Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 2
HEI
31%
23%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EIC
0 - 1
HEI
62%
19%
18%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HEI
5 - 2
LUB
49%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ITK
3 - 1
HEI
24%
20%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
HEI
3 - 2
VFR
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
FLE
4 - 1
BOR
86%
9%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ITK
3 - 5
FLE
18%
19%
64%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FRI
0 - 1
FLE
15%
18%
68%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FLE
5 - 1
EUT
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
EIC
3 - 2
FLE
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |