Heider SV vs Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DRO
3 - 0
HEI
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HEI
0 - 1
WEI
10%
19%
71%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
STP
3 - 1
HEI
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
WEI
2 - 1
HEI
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HEI
0 - 0
JED
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 3
EIN
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
OTT
2 - 0
FCP
52%
22%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 2
FCP
30%
21%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
EUT
0 - 2
FCP
13%
16%
70%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
FCP
6 - 1
ECK
94%
5%
1%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |