Heidenheim vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
EBT
1 - 0
HEI
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
KSC
1 - 1
HEI
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
HEI
3 - 0
DAR
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
SVS
4 - 0
HEI
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 0
FCN
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
STP
2 - 3
RTV
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
STP
2 - 0
SSV
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
HAN
2 - 3
STP
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
STP
1 - 1
HOL
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
WUR
1 - 1
STP
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |